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Posted on July 15, 2020 2:23 pmJuly 16, 2020 9:37 am

Chicago Mayor Warns He Put City In LOCKDOWN

Mayor Lori Lightfoot Warns City Might Have To Move Back To Phase 3 If COVID Cases Continue To Rise; ‘We Are On The Precipice

CHICAGO (CBS) — Comparing herself to a mother who won’t simply turn the car around if her kids are acting up, but one who will make them walk home, Mayor Lori Lightfoot on Wednesday warned the city is “dangerously close” to possibly going back to Phase 3 of reopening, following a recent rise in new COVID-19 cases, particularly among young people. “The last thing I want to do is have to take steps back. I certainly don’t want to be like other places in the country where we’re shutting down commerce and business,” she said. “If we continue to see this uptick in cases, we’re going to have no choice but to go back into Phase 3. That means shutting businesses down. That means imposing more restrictions on your mobility. No one wants to go back there, but we will have to go back there if people continue to ignore the public health guidance.”

Since June 15, nearly 30% of all new virus cases in Chicago are among people between the ages of 18 and 29, the mayor said.

“This should be all the proof that you need. If you are in the 18 to 29-year-old cohort, you are catching COVID-19, you are getting sick, and you’re not only putting yourself at risk, you’re putting every single person that you come into contact with at risk as well,” she said. The mayor has repeatedly warned that, if Chicago’s virus numbers take a turn for the worse, she won’t hesitate to reinstate stricter public health requirements. “Some of you have joked that I’m like the mom who will turn the car around when you’re acting up. No friends, it’s actually worse, I won’t just turn the car around, I’m going to shut it off, I’m going to kick you out, and I’m going to make you walk home. That’s who I am. That’s who I must be for you and everyone else in the city to make sure that we continue to be safe,” she said. “I don’t want to be that person if I don’t have to, but I will if you make me, and right now we are on the precipice. We are dangerously close to going back to a dangerous state of conditions.” Chicago Public Health Commissioner Dr. Allison Arwady said, while Chicago is averaging fewer than 200 new cases per day, she expects to climb above that threshold soon. “When we get back above 200, we’re back in a high incident state, and for me, that means we are back in a caution state. It does not equal an automatic rollback,” she said. However, if and when Chicago does climb back above that threshold, public health officials will look at likely “problem areas,” such as bars, and could order them to close if needed. Arwady said, if Chicago reaches an average of 400 cases per day, that would be equivalent to the levels seen in states included in the city’s travel quarantine mandate, and would indicate a need to go back to Phase 3 of the reopening plan.

Posted on July 15, 2020 7:25 amJuly 15, 2020 8:53 am

Oxford COVID-19 vaccine showing progress

https://youtu.be/Qbw1rgNbtEQ

Experts believe that one of the biggest challenges with vaccines against the coronavirus species is the “potential for antibody-dependent enhancement of the disease”, which has been one reason for the lack of a vaccine against the 2003 SARS CoV strain.

Oxford’s COVID-19 vaccine that is backed by AstraZeneca is reportedly generating “the kind of antibody and T-cell (killer cell) response that the researchers would hope to see,” Robert Peston, ITV News’ political editor, wrote on Wednesday. “As I understand, not all of the many vaccines under development across the world increase both antibodies and T-cells. But the Oxford vaccine looks as though it has this twin effect,” Peston added. “The most important finding to me is the combination of considerable efficacy in terms of viral load and subsequent pneumonia, but no evidence of immune-enhanced disease, which has been a concern for vaccines in general, for example with vaccines against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), and for SARS vaccines,” Prof Stephen Evans, Professor of Pharmacoepidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, said. Experts believe that one of the biggest challenges with vaccines against the coronavirus species is the “potential for antibody-dependent enhancement of the disease”, which has been one reason for the lack of a vaccine against the 2003 SARS CoV strain. Risk-on flows continue to dominate financial markets on Wednesday. As of writing, major equity indexes in Europe were up between 0.95% and 1.2% and the S&P 500 were gaining 0.8% on the day.

Posted on July 14, 2020 5:24 pmJuly 15, 2020 8:52 am

Banks Ready for Wave of Coronavirus Defaults

The largest U.S. banks signaled that the worst of the coronavirus recession is yet to come, opting to stow away tens of billions of dollars to prepare for an expected wave of loan losses. JPMorgan JPM 0.57% Chase & Co., Citigroup Inc. C -3.93% and Wells Fargo WFC -4.57% & Co. said Tuesday they took large hits to their second-quarter profits to collectively stockpile $28 billion to cover losses as consumers and businesses start to default on their loans.

The provisions amount to a sharp increase above what they put away in the first three months of the year, reflecting a shift in their assumptions about the length and severity of the pandemic’s economic toll.

JPMorgan, the largest U.S. bank by assets, said it put aside extra to prepare for an unemployment rate that remains at double digits well into next year and a slower recovery in gross domestic product than the bank’s economists assumed three months ago. “This is not a normal recession,” said James Dimon, JPMorgan’s chief executive. “The recessionary part of this you’re going to see down the road.” For years after the last financial crisis, banks made big profits lending to consumers and companies eager to take advantage of low interest rates. Heading into the current collapse, Americans had taken on record amounts of auto loans, credit-card debt and student loans. Corporate debt also reached record levels. After governments shut down a host of businesses to slow the spread of coronavirus, the outlook for that debt grew murkier. Bank executives said Tuesday they saw signs of a nascent economic recovery in May after states opened up. Now, a new spike in coronavirus cases that caused a wave of shutdowns has them preparing for an extended downturn.

“The pandemic has a grip on the economy, and it doesn’t seem likely to loosen until vaccines are widely available,” Citigroup Chief Executive Michael Corbat said.

JPMorgan set aside $10.47 billion to cover potential loan losses, cutting its profit in half. Wells Fargo posted its first quarterly loss in more than a decade and socked away $9.57 billion to prepare for a wave of loan defaults. Citigroup’s profit fell 73%, weighed down by the $7.9 billion the bank set aside for an expected increase in soured loans. Shares of JPMorgan rose 0.6%. Citigroup shares fell 3.9%, and Wells Fargo shares fell 4.6%. The economic collapse has been unusual in that banks have granted temporary pauses on payments for mortgages, auto loans and commercial loans. Also, the federal government has provided unprecedented stimulus to keep consumers afloat. Executives said Tuesday the requests for more assistance have tailed off in recent months. Credit-card customers who had requested help were largely returning to paying instead of seeking more relief. “It does appear the relief programs are working” Citigroup Chief Financial Officer Mark Mason told reporters. But as relief measures roll of, banks are expecting trouble ahead. All three banks added to their loan-loss reserves for both their commercial divisions and their consumer banks. All told, the three banks have stockpiled $83 billion for credit losses. Hard-hit industries like retail and hotels are already struggling financially, but executives said they now expect the downturn to hit a wide range of businesses.

“May and June will prove to be the easy months in terms of this recovery,” said Jennifer Piepszak, JPMorgan’s CFO. “Now we’re really hitting the moment of truth in the months ahead.” Additionally, banks expect higher losses in consumer mortgages when payment deferrals end and higher credit-card losses due to elevated unemployment. Even as the recession deepened in the second quarter, the S&P 500 rose 20%. In a sign of that rift, banks reported some of their best trading results in years. Trading revenue rose 79% at JPMorgan and 55% at Citigroup. Both banks did brisk business advising companies raising funds through debt and equity sales. Executives at JPMorgan and Citigroup cautioned that second-quarter market revenues were abnormally high and trading likely would fall back to earth in the second half of the year. So far, the pandemic has hit Wells Fargo the hardest. The bank, already struggling to dig out of a four-year-old fake-accounts scandal, had to manage the economic fallout while staying within strict regulatory confines. In addition to increasing its loan-loss provisions, it noted a recent rise in charge-offs tied to its oil-and-gas and commercial-real-estate portfolios.

“Our view of the length and severity of the economic downturn has deteriorated considerably,” said CEO Charles Scharf.

 

Posted on July 14, 2020 5:06 pmJuly 15, 2020 8:51 am

Boeing customers cancel 355 plane orders in H1 2020

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) reported Tuesday morning that it delivered a total of 20 new commercial jets in the second quarter of this year. For the year to date, Boeing has delivered 70 new airplanes. The grounding of the company’s best-selling 737 Max halted sales of the company’s most popular plane in March of last year. Customers took delivery of just seven of the company’s 787 Dreamliners in the second quarter, compared with 36 deliveries in the year-ago quarter. Deliveries of the 777 fell from 10 to six, and 767 deliveries dropped from 14 to just four. The decline in 777 and 787 deliveries is due largely to the COVID-19 pandemic that has all but stopped new deliveries from both Boeing and its chief rival, Airbus, as airline customers cancel or delay plans to upgrade their fleets. For the first half of the year, Boeing has received a net 784 cancellations, including 353 for the 737 Max. Orders for 12 of the company’s 777 jets have also been canceled, as have four orders for the 747 jumbo jet. On the plus side, Boeing has written nine new orders for the 767 and 17 new orders for the 787. More than half of the cancellations (439) are related to an accounting standard adopted in January 2018 known as ASC 606. The standard specifies criteria beyond a firm contract that must be met before a company can recognize revenue from its backlog. Boeing has commenced flight testing its 737 Max jets following changes to the aircraft’s flight control systems and software but there remain weeks (at least) of testing and reviews and approvals before the U.S. grounding of the plane could be lifted. It is also likely that other national civil aviation authorities will want to conduct their own testing and reviews before lifting grounding orders. While the COVID-19 outbreak has decimated near-term demand for any new Boeing (or Airbus) aircraft, Boeing needs to get the 737 Max back in the air as soon as possible. There may be no new orders for the plane for a while, but the company has more than 4,100 unfilled orders for the 737 Max. Building and delivering the 737 Max will get Boeing’s cash flow running again. The company also has some 400 of the planes parked around the country awaiting delivery to customers. When the grounding order is lifted, Boeing can begin delivering those planes and getting paid for them. Boeing stock traded up about 1.0% in the noon hour Tuesday, at $177.42 in a 52-week range of $89.00 to $391.00. The stock’s consensus 12-month price target is $177.80.

Posted on July 14, 2020 10:56 amJuly 15, 2020 8:50 am

Hong Kong Adopts Its Strictest-Ever Virus Measures as City Reels

(Bloomberg) — Hong Kong implemented its strictest suite of social distancing measures yet as the Asian financial hub looks set to be the first in the region where a new outbreak surpasses previous waves in severity.

Bars, gyms and beaches will be closed, public gatherings limited to four people, and fines will be doled out to those refusing to wear masks on public transport as authorities try to slow a growing resurgence.

Officials said they detected 40 local cases on Tuesday, bringing the total outbreak to 224 people in around a week. The breadth of Hong Kong’s social distancing measures reflects the large proportion of cases of unknown origins, which grew to a record of 24 out of 40 local cases on Tuesday. Because officials cannot identify where the infections are centered, they can’t deploy less-disruptive targeted measures like in South Korea and Japan and have instead levied broad policies for the whole city. “The actual number of cases is quite high but more worrying is the proportion of unknown cases,” said Chuang Shuk-kwan, an official with the Department of Health, at a Tuesday briefing. “That means there are many unknown sources in the community that can spread easily.” Pedestrians wearing protective masks walk across a road in Hong Kong on July 10. The sweeping set of measures, announced by Chief Executive Carrie Lam on Monday night, illustrate how the second and third waves of the coronavirus pandemic around the world could be worse than the initial outbreak, requiring ever more painful shutdowns. Australia’s second-largest city Melbourne and the U.S. state of California have also moved to re-impose lockdown restrictions as new waves of infection surge.

a screenshot of a cell phone: Virus Roars Back © Bloomberg Virus Roars Back

For residents finding themselves back in crisis after a six-week stretch of normal life, the change is jarring. While the closures are for an initial period of seven days, officials said they may be extended if the outbreak does not slow. Dining-in may be barred completely next, after now being limited to between 5 a.m. and 6 p.m., reported local media outlet RTHK citing Secretary for Food and Health Sophia Chan. “I’m so depressed when I see the rising case numbers,” said Liu Jia, a 30-year-old investment banker. “I feel my career is stuck and I myself am also stuck physically in the city. Everything is back to the painful time we’ve been suffering months ago, and the entire year will be wasted.” The resurgence will likely stamp out the tentative green shoots that Hong Kong’s battered economy had been showing. With locals unable to travel out of the city this summer, the retail and hospitality sectors had been seeing signs of a recovery in demand before the latest flareup. “Hong Kong’s economy had just warmed up and now we have the third wave of outbreak,” said Francis Kwok, vice chairman of the Hong Kong Institute of Financial Analysts and Professional Commentators. “Working in the financial industry, the most vital thing for us is the economy so everyone can go to work and run business normally. The worsening outbreak will also affect the mood of the financial market.” The broad restrictions on businesses are a source of frustration, said Herbert Chow, chief executive officer of children’s clothing brand Chickeeduck Retail Hong Kong Ltd., who formerly owned an ice-skating rink in a shopping mall. The rink is being asked to close along with other leisure outlets like cinemas, although patrons are not in an enclosed space, he said. “After having to close for 40 days from March 28 to May 7, now we are being asked to close again,” Chow said. “The government uses a broad stroke policy and treats everybody in this one sector the same.”

 

Posted on July 14, 2020 8:47 amJuly 15, 2020 8:47 am

US budget deficit jumps to $864B in June

WASHINGTON — The federal government incurred the biggest monthly budget deficit in history in June as spending on programs to combat the coronavirus recession exploded while millions of job losses cut into tax revenues. The Treasury Department reported Monday that the deficit hit $864 billion last month, an amount of red ink that surpasses most annual deficits in the nation’s history and is above the previous monthly deficit record of $738 billion in April. That amount was also tied to the trillions of dollars Congress has provided to cushion the impact of the widespread shutdowns that occurred in an effort to limit the spread of the viral pandemic. As stimulus spending has soared the budget deficit hit $3 trillion in the past 12 months through June, or 14 percent of gross domestic product. The Congressional Budget Office has projected the annual deficit could total $3.7 trillion in the fiscal year that ends Sept. 30. The June deficit was driven by various government relief programs, such as an additional $600 per week in expanded unemployment benefits and a Paycheck Protection Program that provided forgivable loans to businesses that could keep workers on their payrolls. The report showed that the cost of the Paycheck Protection Program in June was $511 billion, though that figure reflected a charge to the federal government for all bank loans under the program, before banks determine what businesses met the criteria for having their loans forgiven. Those requirements include spending at least 60 percent of the loan amount on worker pay with the other 40% going to overhead costs such as rent and utilities. Another reason for the surge in the June deficit was the federal government delaying tax payments until July 15 this year instead of June. Deficits could widen if Congress moves forward with another round of coronavirus relief legislation. Congress has authorized $3.3 trillion since March to combat the impact of shutdowns in the form of stimulus checks and emergency loans and grants to businesses and state and local governments. But many argue more is needed. In May the House passed another $3 trillion coronavirus relief bill, but the Senate has yet to discuss its own legislation. The spike in red ink has left some Republicans hesitant to pursue new relief legislation and to call for any new aid to be narrowly tailored to the hardest-hit industries. Fox News is told Republicans were aiming for a bill costing no more than $1 trillion. Sen. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said if the Senate takes up another coronavirus relief bill, it will be after it returns to the Hill on July 20. Trump and McConnell aren’t ruling out another round of targeted, direct stimulus checks – especially for those making less than $40,000. The Trump administration has continued to advocate for one idea unpopular with both Republicans and Democrats: a cut in the payroll taxes employers pay on behalf of their workers. The federal government has levied such taxes on the wages of employees. Payroll taxes have financed Social Security and Medicare, which have accounted for nearly a quarter of all government revenue. Pruning the payroll tax cut could further explode the national debt, contributing hundreds of billions if not trillions of dollars of red ink – on top of the staggering spending OK’d by Congress this year alone.

Posted on July 13, 2020 4:34 pmJuly 14, 2020 11:40 am

Virus surging as US never shut down entirely – Fauci

White House coronavirus advisor Dr. Anthony Fauci said the United States is seeing a surge in new Covid-19 infections because the country never shut down entirely. Early in the outbreak, U.S. coronavirus cases peaked at around 30,000 new cases a day before falling and plateauing at roughly 20,000 new cases per day, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. As some states began to reopen in late April through June, new cases began to surge, Fauci told Stanford Medicine Dean Lloyd Minor during an interview. “We did not shut down entirely,” Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, said. “We need to draw back a few yards and say, ‘OK, we can’t stay shut down forever.’ …You’ve got to shut down but then you’ve got to gradually open.” The U.S. has reported more than 3.3 million Covid-19 cases and at least 135,205 deaths as of Monday, Hopkins data shows. As of Sunday, cases are growing by 5% or more in 37 states and also Washington, D.C., according to CNBC’s analysis of the data. The seven-day average of U.S. cases is more than 59,100. In recent weeks, President Donald Trump and some state leaders have downplayed the threat of the virus, tying the surge in new cases to an increase in testing. However, public health officials and infectious disease experts refute those claims, saying the rate of cases that test positive in the U.S., hospitalizations and deaths remain high in some states. Fauci said Monday that the outbreak in the U.S. hasn’t “even begun to see the end” of the coronavirus pandemic yet as scientists continue to work on potential drugs and vaccines for the virus. He said he’s “cautiously optimistic” scientists will be able to create at least one safe and effective vaccine by the end of the year or early 2021.

Biotech firm Moderna, which is working with the National Institutes of Health, and Johnson & Johnson are expected to begin late-stage human trials for potential vaccines by the end of this month. It’s a record-breaking time frame to produce a vaccine — even as scientists say there is no guarantee the vaccines will be effective.

Fauci also said he expects the public to compare the Covid-19 pandemic to the 1918 pandemic flu, which killed around 50 million people, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. He mentioned the “extreme” range of symptoms people can experience after contracting the virus, including pediatric multisystem inflammatory syndrome. PMIS is a rare inflammatory condition found in children with Covid-19 that’s similar to Kawasaki syndrome and has caused neurological damage in some kids. “We learn things every week,” he said. The comments by Fauci come as the rift between Trump and the nation’s top infectious disease expert widens. Just last week, Trump, who has previously said the pandemic was nearing its end, criticized Fauci’s response to the pandemic. During an interview Thursday with Fox News’ Sean Hannity, Trump said, “Dr. Fauci’s a nice man, but he’s made a lot of mistakes. “They’ve been wrong about a lot of things, including face masks,” he said. “Maybe they’re wrong, maybe not. A lot of them said don’t wear a mask, don’t wear a mask. Now they’re saying wear a mask. A lot of mistakes were made, a lot of mistakes.” However, Trump has often been seen without a mask despite recommendations from the CDC and the World Health Organization that people wear them as a way to slow the spread of the virus. Scientists say the virus can spread through respiratory droplets that pass when an infected person coughs or sneezes. Studies suggest the masks may help limit transmission. On Saturday, Trump wore a mask in public for the first time while visiting Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.

Posted on July 13, 2020 4:15 pm

Radio Free Wall Street

Just When You Thought It Could Not Get Any Worse

It’s worse. The Coronavirus is an aerosol. Which means that masks are useless. 6 foot separation is a joke. The entire infrastructure that you’ve known all your life will have to be replaced.

https://www.thepandemicinformer.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/071320.mp4
Posted on July 13, 2020 3:41 pmJuly 14, 2020 11:39 am

Ohio man, 37, dies from coronavirus because he listened to Trump

Ohio man, 37, dies from coronavirus after claiming the pandemic which has killed more than 135,000 people was just ‘hype’ in a Facebook post

  • Richard Rose, 37, died on July 4, four days after testing positive for coronavirus
  • A US Army veteran, he loved social media, paranormal, NASCAR and NFL
  • He was fervent in support of Trump, writing: ‘I’m glad to call him MY PRESIDENT’
  • In an April 28 Facebook post, Rose declared that he wasn’t buying into the ‘hype’
  • He also made it clear that he would not be wearing a mask as recommended
  • But on July 1 Rose started feeling ill and wrote that he had COVID-19 symptoms
  • That same day he announced positive test results and that he’d be quarantining

A 37-year-old Ohio man who claimed the coronavirus pandemic was just ‘hype’ and repeatedly refused to wear a face mask has died from COVID-19. Richard Rose, a staunch supporter of Donald Trump, wrote on Facebook on July 1 that he was experiencing COVID-19 symptoms, and went to get tested. The US Army veteran, who served for nine years and did two tours of Iraq and Afghanistan, tested positive. He died from the virus at his home in Port Clinton, Ohio, on July 4.

Richard Rose, 37, of Ohio, claimed in a Facebook post that the pandemic was just ‘hype’ This is a picture of a DEAD FOOL,,,,, Sad to say their will be a lot more joining him

Richard Rose, 37, of Ohio, claimed in a Facebook post that the pandemic was just ‘hype’

He said on April 28 he would not wear a face mask and was 'not buying into that damn hype'

He said on April 28 he would not wear a face mask and was ‘not buying into that damn hype’ Continue reading “Ohio man, 37, dies from coronavirus because he listened to Trump”

Posted on July 13, 2020 11:41 amJuly 13, 2020 1:23 pm

3 people test positive for Covid-19 after taking Delta flight from Atlanta to Albany, airline says

Three people have tested positive for coronavirus on Friday after taking a Delta Air Lines flight from Atlanta to Albany, New York. Flight 4815 left on July 6, a release from the Rensselaer County Health Department said. The passengers were not symptomatic on the flight, but began showing symptoms on July 7. “We have been made aware of three customers who tested positive for Covid-19 and recently traveled on Endeavor from Atlanta to Albany. We are following the guidance of local healthcare officials and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The health and safety of our customers and crews is our top priority,” Delta spokesman Anthony Black told CNN in an email. Delta is in contact with regional CDC officials and has provided a manifest of the flight, Black said. CNN has reached out to the CDC for comment. Rensselaer County in upstate New York issued an advisory on Friday for the passengers on that flight. The county is working with the state health department and local health departments as the case develops. In June, Delta announced 500 of its 90,000 nationwide employees tested positive for coronavirus. The airline said at the time they had added more space, clean surfaces and introduced safer service, including the requirement that all employees and customers wear face masks. The airline also restored wine and beer options on July 2. Beverages were dropped abruptly from the service in March because the airline wanted to minimize interaction between flight attendants and passengers, but it has now worked on procedures to safely give the drinks to customers. Delta is evaluating the return of spirits, soft drinks and a larger selection of snacks and meals.

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