S. Korea biggest daily spike 2,223 new COVID-19 cases

South Korea on Wednesday confirmed more new cases of COVID-19 in a single day than it has seen so far during this pandemic. Making matters even more concerning, experts say the coming weeks could be even worse. This is the first time that the country has logged more than 2-thousand Covid-19 infections in a single 24-hour period.
South Korea on Wednesday reported 2,223 new Covid-19 infections. The greater Seoul area saw the highest number of local infections yet, with the local caseload at 1,405.Health authorities say the Delta variant is driving up cases, with clusters erupting in workplaces, indoor sports facilities, churches, and at care hospitals.
But the worst is yet to come.

Experts last month have already projected that at the virus’ current reproductive rate,.. the nation will see 2,5-hundred to 3-thousand new cases a day by late August.

Experts are also worried about the enormous strain this will put on healthcare services, saying a sudden rise could overwhelm medical staff and supplies. In that case, what can be done – that hasn’t already been attempted – to try and curb the spread. Health authorities say that in order to protect our lives and the economy, we first need to decrease the risk of infection by cutting down on travel and social gatherings. But we can’t only rely on social distancing to fix the problem. Vaccinations are of the utmost importance as well. “We need to do our best to protect the most vulnerable people and facilities by curbing the infection spread through prevention methods, and also by raising the vaccination rates.” There will be a boost in the supply of Pfizer’s vaccines today, with six million additional doses arriving.

Top Japan health adviser wants stricter COVID-19 measures for about two weeks

OKYO -Japan’s top health adviser said on Thursday he would request stricter emergency measures for about two weeks to tackle a spike in COVID-19 cases in Tokyo and other areas.

Shigeru Omi told reporters the contagion should treated as a natural disaster and he called on the government to increase testing to find and contain the spread.

A few days after the end of the Tokyo Olympics, the capital reported 4,989 new daily cases on Thursday, down slightly from record 5,042 last week. The new number of patients with serious symptoms increased to an all-time daily high of 218. There has been no evidence that the Olympics https://www.usnews.com/news/top-news/articles/2021-08-07/olympics-tokyo-feared-games-would-spread-covid-numbers-suggest-that-didnt-happen directly increased case numbers in Japan, but health experts have warned that holding the Games could have encouraged people to relax infection controls. Japan is vaccinating more than 1 million people a day, but it still lags many major economies in inoculating its population. Tokyo is already under a state of emergency, the fourth so far in the pandemic, though some experts have said it should be expanded to cover the whole country. The western prefecture of Osaka reported a record 1,654 new cases on Thursday. Hospital beds are filling up rapidly, mainly with patients in their 40s and 50s, Omi said. To try to break the chain of infection, he said, authorities should try to reduce human mobility to about 50% of the average in July. His comments echoed those of a separate panel of experts who said on Thursday contagion in Tokyo had become uncontrollable.

“The number of new positive cases is rapidly increasing, making it impossible to control the situation,” Norio Ohmagari, a health adviser to the Tokyo Metropolitan Government, told a panel chaired by Governor Yuriko Koike.

Koike urged residents to avoid travel and stay home to slow the transmission of COVID-19, which is causing hospitals to have to forego some standard medical care.

WHO: Global virus cases to top 300M in early 2022

The World Health Organization (WHO) warned on Wednesday the global count of infections from COVID-19 will surpass 300 million in early 2022 if the pandemic continues to move in its current direction. WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus stressed the real number of cases is “much higher” as there are many unreported ones. He also called for an urgent donation worth $7.7 billion of vaccines and medical supplies for lower-income countries. “We are all in this together. But the world is not acting like it,” Tedros said. Tedros recently commented on the new spikes in infections around the globe by saying that “hard-won gains in fighting COVID-19 are being lost.”

Director-General of the World Health Organization, Tedros Adhanom, warned on Friday that the number of newly registered COVID-19 cases and deaths continues to climb in numerous countries across the globe. Commenting on new coronavirus variants, Dr. Tedros argued there will be more versions of the virus as long as the spreading lasts. “Hard-won gains in fighting COVID-19 are being lost,” he insisted at WHO’s press briefing. Dr. Tedros concluded by reiterating that the WHO’s goal remains to support every country to vaccinate at least 40% of its population by the end of the year and 70% by the middle of 2022.

New data on coronavirus vaccine effectiveness

A new preprint study (copy below) that raises concerns about the mRNA vaccines’ effectiveness against Delta — particularly Pfizer’s — has already grabbed the attention of top Biden administration officials.

The study found the Pfizer vaccine was only 42% effective against infection in July, when the Delta variant was dominant. “If that’s not a wakeup call, I don’t know what is,” a senior Biden official told Axios.

The study, conducted by nference and the Mayo Clinic, compared the effectiveness of the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines in the Mayo Clinic Health System over time from January to July.

  • Overall, it found that the Moderna vaccine was 86% effective against infection over the study period, and Pfizer’s was 76%. Moderna’s vaccine was 92% effective against hospitalization and Pfizer’s was 85%.
  • But the vaccines’ effectiveness against infection dropped sharply in July, when the Delta variant’s prevalence in Minnesota had risen to over 70%.
  • Moderna was 76% effective against infection, and Pfizer was only 42% effective.
  • The study found similar results in other states. For example, in Florida, the risk of infection in July for people fully vaccinated with Moderna was about 60% lower than for people fully vaccinated with Pfizer.

Although it has yet to be peer-reviewed, the study raises serious questions about both vaccines’ long-term effectiveness, particularly Pfizer’s.

  • It’s unclear whether the results signify a reduction in effectiveness over time, a reduced effectiveness against Delta, or a combination of both.
  • “Based on the data that we have so far, it is a combination of both factors,” said Venky Soundararajan, a lead author of the study. “The Moderna vaccine is likely — very likely — more effective than the Pfizer vaccine in areas where Delta is the dominant strain, and the Pfizer vaccine appears to have a lower durability of effectiveness.”
  • He added that his team is working on a follow-up study that will try to differentiate between the durability of the two vaccines and their effectiveness against Delta.

Yes, but: There has been no data so far that has found either vaccine’s protection against severe disease and death is significantly less against Delta, and the study notes that there doesn’t appear to be much of a difference in complications stemming from breakthrough infections based on which vaccine someone got.

  • And experts cautioned against rushing to conclusions.
  • “This is the kind of surprising finding that needs confirmation before we should accept its validity,” said Cornell virologist John Moore.

Between the lines: The two shots both use mRNA, but there are significant differences between them.

  • For example, Moderna is given in a stronger dose than Pfizer, and there is a slightly different time interval between shots.
  • “There are a few differences between what are known to be similar vaccines …. None of these variables is an obvious smoking gun, although the dosing amount seems the most likely to be a factor,” Moore said.

In a statement, Pfizer said it and BioNTech “expect to be able to develop and produce a tailor-made vaccine against that variant in approximately 100 days after a decision to do so, subject to regulatory approval.” Nick Note: Now will you listen to me… It’s foolish to have a librarian that sees the future and not use your library card. Bottom line get a booster shot NOW… and initiate our personnel protection protocols. Mask up, Vitamin up, isolate, TEST EVERYONE WHO COMES INTO YOUR AIRSPACE. Read the study for yourself below

2021.08.06.21261707v2.full

To Order Test kits, CoronaVits and mask/filters click the link below.

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Experts Predict What The Next COVID-19 Variants Will Be Like

Alpha, beta, gamma, delta — there have been four COVID-19 variants of concern that have altered the course of the pandemic at different points in the past year and a half. First came the alpha variant, first detected in the United Kingdom, that was more transmissible and caused the surges behind the winter wave of the pandemic. The beta variant came next, triggering outbreaks in South Africa, along with gamma, the variant that took hold of Brazil in January. Now we have delta ― definitely more transmissible, potentially more virulent (though it’s hard to know for sure), and a huge problem for those who remain unvaccinated. Every day brings new concerning headlines about this variant or that mutation, which brings up the natural question: What’s next? To better understand what the next round of variants might look like, we need to take a look at what we’ve learned so far about how this coronavirus changes. Each time the virus infects a new cell, it starts to makes copies of itself — and as it copies, it makes random changes (known as mutations) all over the place. Most mutations aren’t useful and die out, but some can be tolerated and passed on, said Ben Neuman, chief virologist at Texas A&M University’s Global Health Research Complex. Coronaviruses are typically slow changers — they mutate, as any virus does, but they don’t evolve at an alarming rate.

What shocked scientists is the rate of evolution, or how quickly these variants of concern acquired new mutations, according to Nathan Grubaugh, an evolutionary virologist and associate professor of epidemiology at the Yale School of Public Health.

In general, the coronavirus acquires about one or two mutations a month. But the variants of concern have acquired many more mutations much more quickly. Alpha, for example, didn’t just acquire one or two mutations, it picked up 17. The leading hypothesis is that it took a prolonged infection ― probably in an immunocompromised person whose body had a tough time clearing out the virus ― to collect this many mutations so rapidly. From there, the virus spread to somebody else before taking off and shooting through entire communities. According to Grubaugh, the same sort of rapid increase in mutations was identified with the beta variant detected in South Africa and the gamma variant that popped up in Brazil. “This phenomenon that we’re watching, of these variants that arise very quickly, I think caught a lot of us off guard,” Grubaugh said. It’s impossible to predict exactly what future variants will look like, but it’s pretty undeniable that we are going to see new variants emerge. “We haven’t seen the end of variants and we certainly haven’t seen the end of variants that are more transmissible,” Grubaugh said. The development of new variants that rise to the level of concern is actually extremely rare. There have probably been hundreds of thousands of events where a host of new mutations have occurred, but those versions of the virus weren’t very fit so they died out before becoming a variant of concern. Just because the virus evolves, doesn’t mean it’s going to become a variant of concern.

But, when you give the virus so many different opportunities to infect new people, it will inevitably test out new variations. As long as there are people for SARS-CoV-2 to infect, the coronavirus will continue to evolve.

“We know that most of the variants we see emerge from people who are not vaccinated,” said Dirk Dittmer, a virologist at the University of North Carolina’s School of Medicine who is currently working on a variant tracking project in North Carolina. We’ve never seen anything like SARS-CoV-2 before. We’ve never had a pandemic of this scale with so much global mixing. A variant that pops up in Brazil can be in Japan or the United States in a moment’s notice, Grubaugh said. What happens around the globe is going to impact the rest of the world — we aren’t living in a vacuum. This makes it a lot harder to predict what’s going to emerge and where. All that said, the scientists who study the evolution of viruses have some theories. Grubaugh said the next generation of variants could be just like delta, but better at what they do — probably more transmissible, maybe a little bit more successful at reinfecting people who were previously diagnosed with COVID-19. (We know the vaccines produce a more robust immune response than natural infection does.) Neuman predicts somewhat the same. In July, scientists identified that 90% of the SARS-CoV-2 genomes were in the genetic group that fell under the delta variant. Because of that, “the most likely bet is that future strains will look like delta, but with extra changes,” Neuman said.

Gamma and delta both are slightly better at evading immunity compared to alpha and the other earlier variants. To Neuman, it seems reasonable to speculate that the current versions of the vaccines we’re using will eventually be less effective against newer variants.

Continue reading “Experts Predict What The Next COVID-19 Variants Will Be Like”

Oil drops on China fuel demand concerns as Delta coronavirus surges

MELBOURNE/SINGAPORE, Aug 11 (Reuters) – Oil prices dipped on Wednesday as analysts cut their forecasts for fuel demand in China following mobility curbs from the spread of the highly infectious Delta variant of the coronavirus, offsetting a bullish outlook for U.S. fuel demand. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 18 cents, or 0.3%, to $68.11 a barrel at 0500 GMT, after a 2.7% jump on Tuesday. Brent crude futures dropped 16 cents to $70.47 a barrel, following a 2.3% gain on Tuesday. While both contracts have reclaimed their 100-day daily moving average, a technical chart indicator, they appeared to lack the momentum to stage meaningful revivals as Delta variant fears continued to weigh on markets, said Jeffrey Halley, OANDA’s senior market analyst for Asia Pacific. “Short-term momentum has waned quickly in Asia,” he added. Beijing has imposed travel curbs that will reduce fuel demand in the world’s second-largest oil consumer, prompting Goldman Sachs to cut its demand forecast for China by 1 million barrels per day for the next two months. “Our base case remains that the Delta wave will impact demand – including in China – for only two months, consistent with prior cycles, including most recently in India,” the bank said. Industry data showed U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories fell last week, while the U.S. Energy Information Administration raised its forecast for fuel demand in 2021 and said consumption in May through July was higher than expected, supporting prices. U.S. crude stocks fell by 816,00 barrels and gasoline stocks fell by 1.1 million barrels in the week ended Aug. 6, according to two market sources, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute. Both drawdowns were a bit smaller than analysts polled by Reuters had expected. The EIA’s monthly report showed that the need for supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) will exceed OPEC supply by 1 million barrels per day in the third quarter and by 300,000 bpd in the fourth quarter of 2021, Commonwealth Bank commodity analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note. “With OECD commercial crude oil stockpiles having dropped back to pre‑COVID levels already, a tightening oil market outlook will likely amplify oil price gains,” he said.

Wuhan’s ‘bat woman’ virologist warns more COVID mutations are coming

https://youtu.be/bbYngJYy1GQ

  • Shi Zhengli told Chinese state media that the virus will continue to mutate.
  • The delta variant was first discovered in India and is now the dominant strain of COVID-19.
  • Scientists are also monitoring the lambda variant, which is becoming a prominent strain in South America.

The head of the Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) warned that the coronavirus virus will continue to mutate, and urged people to continue to get vaccinated. Virologist Shi Zhengli told the South China Morning Post that the world will need to prepare to coexist with the virus as it continues to mutate and spread across the globe. “As the number of infected cases has just become too big, this allowed the novel coronavirus more opportunities to mutate and select,” Shi said, according to the South China Morning Post. “New variants will continue to emerge.”

The delta variant has quickly become the dominant COVID-19 strain and is driving a surge in cases around the world. Scientists are also monitoring the lambda variant, which is becoming a prominent strain in South America.

In the U.S., for instance, the delta variant accounts for 75 to 80 percent of cases in the Midwest and upper mountain states as of July, according to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and reporting from Healthline. In July, the CDC warned in an internal document that the delta variant could cause more severe illness and spread as easily as chickenpox, stating: “the war has changed.” Michael Osterholmm, the director for the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, told Newsweek that “a delta on steroids” could also possibly emerge. Shi and her role at the Wuhan Institute of Virology have been met with skepticism from many, particularly among Republican leaders in the U.S. A recent Republican-led investigation from the House Foreign Affairs Committee alleges that Shi, along with other researchers and officials associated with the lab, lied about the origins of COVID-19 and worked to cover up the leak of the virus and the research being done at the lab.

Deadly new Covid variant could kill one in three people, warns SAGE

Mutant strain could lead to a return to tighter restrictions and lockdowns, while delivering another huge economic blow to the country

A new variant of Covid that kills one in three people is a “realistic possibility”, scientists have warned. A report by SAGE – the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies – says the future strain of coronavirus could be as deadly as MERS. MERS (Middle East Respiratory Syndrome) is caused by another type of coronavirus and kills 35 per cent of those it infects. It was first recorded in Saudi Arabia in 2012. And science advisors to the Government fear that a new version of the Covid-19 virus could be just as much of a threat. Mutations are most likely to occur when the virus is widespread – as it is currently in the UK. The emergence of such strains could lead to a return to tighter restrictions and lockdowns, while delivering another huge economic blow to the country, Scientists suggested the new strain could be resistant to vaccines if it evolved from the jab-resistant ‘South Africa’ Beta variant along with the more transmissible Alpha or Delta variants.

Dr Philippa Whitford, vice-chair of the All-Party Parliamentary Group on Coronavirus, urged those in charge to pay attention to the alarming report

“This report, which should have sent shock waves through the UK Government, was instead quietly snuck out among a glut of reports during parliamentary recess,” she told Mail Online. “Recommendations and comments made by SAGE bring home the simple reality — that we have not yet ‘defeated’ this virus.” In another report, scientists warned that the protection offered by vaccines against coronavirus infection and potentially severe disease is likely to diminish over time. As a result, vaccine campaigns will have to continue for years to come.

The document, titled “How long will vaccines continue to protect against COVID?”, was written by prominent virologists and epidemiologists from Imperial College London, University of Birmingham and Public Health England.

Britain has approved and is using three vaccines – Oxford-AstraZeneca, Pfizer-BioNTech and Moderna – in a programme that started in December 2020. Data shows that these vaccines protect with 95 per cent or greater effectiveness against the Alpha variant that dominated in Britain in early 2021, the scientists said, although the ability of the shots to protect against infection and onward transmission was lower. They said it vaccines could remain effective against severe disease but effectiveness against mild disease and infection could fall off over time. Anecdotal reports from Britain and Israel, which rolled out a comprehensive early campaign, supported that concept, they said. France, Israel. Germany and Great Britain will begin offering a third shot of the Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine to people aged over 60, a world-first in efforts to slow the spread of the highly contagious Delta variant.

FTSE 100 slips as virus fears outweigh gains in travel stocks

https://youtu.be/JcMTI-0gFhs

London’s FTSE 100 slipped on Tuesday as fears over a spike in global COVID-19 cases dented optimism about strong corporate earnings, while Flutter Entertainment jumped after saying it expected its U.S. business to turn a profit by 2023. The blue-chip FTSE 100 inched 0.1% lower as gains in travel and leisure stocks were outweighed by weakness in heavyweight banks, which tracked benchmark bond yields lower. Travel stocks have gained nearly 12% since the UK eased lockdown restrictions on July 19. The industry has been among the top sectoral performers this month on optimism travel demand would pick up pace, but still underperforms the mid-cap and blue-chip indexes. “The outlook for travel and leisure stocks is kind of mixed at the moment, with most shares clocking gains but still being off their highs due to rising uncertainties regarding the Delta variant,” said Michael Hewson, chief market analyst at CMC Markets. The domestically focussed mid-cap index climbed 0.3% with sports goods retailer Frasers being the top gainer, as surveys showed sporting events and the summer holidays prompted a big increase in British consumer spending in July. The FTSE 100 has gained 10.4% so far this year on re-opening optimism and record-low interest rates, but a recent jump in global coronavirus infections and rising inflation have spurred worries that central banks could pull back support sooner than expected. Among stocks, British insurer and asset manager M&G dropped 1.4% to the bottom of the FTSE 100 even after it posted an above-forecast 6% rise in first-half operating profit and said it was on track to meet its end-2022 capital generation target.

U.S. CDC advisers to review data on COVID-19 vaccine boosters

(Reuters) – A U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) advisory panel will meet on Friday to discuss considerations for booster doses of COVID-19 vaccines, as the United States deals with increasing cases from the Delta variant of the coronavirus. The meeting of CDC’s Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices will also discuss updates on additional doses in immune compromised individuals.Lat month, top U.S. infectious disease expert Anthony Fauci said Americans who are immune compromised may end up needing COVID-19 vaccine booster shots.