The U.S. death toll from the coronavirus pandemic approached 150,000, as fatalities and hospitalizations rose in parts of the country, while new cases in some areas showed signs of leveling off. The U.S. reported more than 61,000 new cases, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, a slight increase after two consecutive days of tallies below 60,000. The total number of coronavirus cases in the U.S. surpassed 4.3 million, accounting for more than a quarter of all confirmed cases world-wide, according to Johns Hopkins. Several states are facing increased coronavirus-related hospitalizations and deaths. The Florida Department of Health reported 186 new coronavirus-related deaths among residents, its highest recorded increase over a 24-hour period. State reporting on coronavirus deaths varies, and it is possible that deaths reported on a particular day may not have occurred over the previous 24 hours.
Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards said there were early signs that coronavirus cases and hospitalizations were plateauing in his state, two weeks after the state implemented new restrictions. Mr. Edwards said Louisiana has the highest number of confirmed cases per capita of any state.
New analyses from a coalition of public-health experts and crisis-response specialists show the overwhelming majority of states don’t meet criteria from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for lifting coronavirus-related restrictions.
The group’s online dashboard, covidexitstrategy.org, tracks state-level data on the spread of the disease, using the CDC’s reopening criteria. The dashboard, as of Tuesday, listed only four states as trending well in controlling the spread of the virus: Connecticut, Maine, New York and Vermont. Uncontrolled spread was seen in 23 states.
Cases continued to rise sharply in some other countries.
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The spread of the coronavirus could be elevated this fall with as many as 150,000 daily cases in the U.S., according to Morgan Stanley’s biotechnology analyst, Matthew Harrison. “We update our scenarios to account for the higher sustained infection rate,” Harrison said in a note Thursday. “Our bull [most optimistic] case reflects similar virus control to Europe while our base [most likely] case assumes a near-term plateau followed by increased spread in the fall. [About] 150,000 daily new cases are possible without better control of the virus.”
Harrison previously projected a “second wave” in the autumn with daily new cases totaling between 40,000 and 50,000 nationwide. However, the recent emergence of hot spots — Arizona, Texas, Florida and California — has reflected a high rate of infection, which led the analyst to adjust to a more pessimistic view on the pandemic.
“Our assumption of a growing reproduction number, and consequently increasing daily cases, throughout the rest of the year is based on the fact that traditionally the spread of viruses is elevated in the fall compared to the summer primarily due to more people in enclosed spaces,” Harrison said.
A recent resurgence in new cases has forced a number of states to roll back their reopening plans, which weighed on the stock market that rallied massively in the second quarter on hopes for a fast economic recovery. Texas and Florida hit grim records for daily coronavirus deaths based on a seven-day moving average.The virus has infected an average of 66,805 people per day in the U.S. over the past seven days, up more than 7% compared with a week ago, according to a CNBC analysis of data compiled by Johns Hopkins University. On Wednesday, California Gov. Gavin Newsom reported a record spike in daily infections, surpassing New York as the U.S. state with the most confirmed infections since the pandemic began.